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artificial superintelligence (ASI)

basicoutlook

A hypothetical artificial intelligence that would vastly surpass the best humans in virtually every intellectual task; it does not exist yet.

In plain terms

Artificial superintelligence is currently a concept, not a purchasable product. It refers to a machine that is better than us not in just one area, like a chess program in chess, but in almost everything: scientific research, design, persuasion, and strategic thinking.

By way of analogy: today's AI is like a very well-read, fast intern who sometimes makes mistakes. Human-level AI would be comparable to a skilled professional. Superintelligence, however, would relate to us as an adult scientist relates to a preschooler: we often could not follow its line of reasoning.

They talk about it so much because the stakes are high. Supporters say it could solve problems humanity has struggled with for decades, such as curing diseases or energy supply. Critics argue that the very danger is that a system smarter than us is difficult to monitor and control.

Experts disagree on when it will arrive, or if it will arrive at all; estimates range from a few years to "never".

How it works

  1. The starting point for today's AI: language models usable for various tasks and the agents built on them. These already perform some multi-step tasks independently, but in many areas still lag behind a knowledgeable human.
  2. The next assumed step is human-level general AI, which can perform any intellectual work that a human can.
  3. According to theory, such a system could also participate in AI research, meaning it could help design its own, better successor.
  4. If this cycle accelerates, capabilities could surpass human ones in a short time. This is called an intelligence explosion.
  5. This is an assumption: we do not know whether more computing capacity and data are sufficient, or if a breakthrough unknown to anyone is needed.

An everyday example

You read in the news that a tech company leader says 'superintelligence is coming in a few years,' and the company is building huge data centers based on this. In such cases, you are not hearing about a finished product, but about a goal and a promise, which is also addressed to investors.

Who is affected

everyoneIf ever realized, it could transform everything from the economy to science, making how and under what rules it is developed a public concern.
investor, saverThe promise of superintelligence drives AI company valuations and massive investments, so it is worth treating the promise and actual performance separately.
lawyer, citizenPart of the regulatory debates is already about who is responsible for a highly capable system and who can oversee it. → Law
parent, student, teacherYoung people's career choices are influenced by what we think about the future of AI, so it is important to seek balanced information between alarmism and exaggerated promises. → Education & Family

A common misconception

MythChatGPT and similar chatbots are already superintelligent, since they can answer anything.
In realityToday's systems are skilled in many tasks but make mistakes, fabricate things, and fall short of an expert human in numerous areas. Superintelligence would surpass the best in everything, and no such system exists today.

Limits and risks

Similar, but not the same

Related concepts

A brief history

The basic idea was proposed by British mathematician I. J. Good in 1965, when he wrote about the self-improving 'ultra-intelligent machine' and the intelligence explosion. The concept was made widely known by philosopher Nick Bostrom's 2014 book, Superintelligence.

Where things stand

At the end of 2026, no superintelligent system exists. Several major AI companies openly declare it a goal and spend huge sums on it, but experts dispute when it can be achieved, and whether it can be achieved at all.

Status: 2026 November

In the news

Appears in 12 Agent Age stories; the curve shows weekly occurrence in the news magazine.

Also known as

ASI · szuperintelligencia · artificial superintelligence · szuperintelligens MI · szuperintelligens AI · artificial superintelligence · superintelligence · superintelligent AI

This entry was machine-edited and has undergone machine expert review; the “In the news” section updates automatically from Agent Age stories.